Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 0.221891 0.256716 0.295185 0.340828 0.393513 0.452426 0.523323
2025-09-28 0.166808 0.213312 0.269951 0.344010 0.438334 0.554532 0.708707
2025-10-05 0.142675 0.195622 0.264640 0.361200 0.492894 0.666420 0.912836
2025-10-12 0.124557 0.180784 0.258256 0.372795 0.537987 0.767931 1.113064
2025-10-19 0.110311 0.168205 0.251899 0.381703 0.578192 0.865017 1.316691
2025-10-26 0.097745 0.155776 0.243355 0.385130 0.609241 0.950595 1.511734
2025-11-02 0.085814 0.142398 0.231214 0.380733 0.626628 1.015992 1.681671
2025-11-09 0.074360 0.128098 0.215576 0.368286 0.628811 1.056454 1.814655
2025-11-16 0.068590 0.122366 0.212932 0.376491 0.665248 1.155429 2.054539
2025-11-23 0.062631 0.115486 0.207402 0.378800 0.691336 1.238962 2.276149
2025-11-30 0.058034 0.110412 0.204313 0.384806 0.724163 1.336908 2.533216
2025-12-07 0.052149 0.102227 0.194651 0.377530 0.731582 1.389450 2.711653
2025-12-14 0.047386 0.095707 0.187508 0.374491 0.747211 1.459863 2.934237
2025-12-21 0.043919 0.091319 0.183947 0.378002 0.775964 1.558341 3.223192
2025-12-28 0.042488 0.090841 0.187924 0.396886 0.837261 1.726435 3.670367
2026-01-04 0.040518 0.088994 0.188900 0.409625 0.887190 1.876615 4.096876
2026-01-11 0.038431 0.086638 0.188534 0.419411 0.931815 2.020195 4.524905
2026-01-18 0.036004 0.083243 0.185571 0.423176 0.963690 2.139838 4.913565
2026-01-25 0.033116 0.078471 0.179086 0.418346 0.975841 2.217749 5.217047
2026-02-01 0.029859 0.072470 0.169214 0.404671 0.966278 2.246274 5.410000
2026-02-08 0.028513 0.070829 0.169091 0.413685 1.010460 2.401091 5.916353
2026-02-15 0.026842 0.068205 0.166391 0.416222 1.039405 2.523318 6.357514
2026-02-22 0.025556 0.066390 0.165411 0.422820 1.078882 2.674323 6.885623